CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$27.32
2.74 (11.15%)
▲
5d:
+7.1%
30d:
+5.77%
90d:
+44.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
CSTM is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 780 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSTM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CSTM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.45
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $27.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.89 to $26.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$23.89 -
$26.06
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+11.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.89 -
$26.06
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.03
Resistance Level
$26.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.52
Wall Street Target
$28.62
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1188.7%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.84
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$28.37
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$28.91
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$54.73
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 9.2%)
$35.56
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$30.23
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$24.12
(+1%)
Analyst growth -2.0%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$21.93
(-8%)
Market implied -2.0%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$15.22
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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