CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$23.70
1.23 (5.47%)
▲
5d:
+4.91%
30d:
+25.73%
90d:
+46.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSTM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CSTM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.15
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.93
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $23.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.84 to $23.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$19.84 -
$23.06
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
CSTM is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.69)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.84 -
$23.06
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.61
Resistance Level
$23.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.96
Wall Street Target
$24.69
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1188.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.46
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$25.24
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$26.05
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.9%)
$65.59
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 22.9%)
$43.99
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 22.9%)
$37.39
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$49.43
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.7
Base Case
$44.94
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.8
Bear Case
$15.28
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 7:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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