CTAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTAS - Cintas Corp
$168.66
2.95 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
-6.93%
30d:
-16.14%
90d:
-11.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
CTAS is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $210 2026-06-18 with 1,187 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$193.31
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTAS is currently trading at $168.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $179.96 to $202.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.1) compared to its historical average (36.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $213.65 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $213.65 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$179.96 -
$202.69
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($213.65)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$179.96 -
$202.69
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.60
Resistance Level
$195.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.13
Wall Street Target
$213.65
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.1 vs 36.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.89
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$151.58
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$143.69
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→37)
$168.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.1, Growth: 10.8%)
$229.21
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$164.56
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.8%)
$139.88
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case
$229.69
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case
$208.81
(+15%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 38.7
Bear Case
$121.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.1 to 36.5
Stabilization Target:
$197.76
(+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2026-01-29
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BUY
2026-01-13
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2025-11-10
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Advanced CTAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTAS price and gamma walls.
