GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$67.33
0.32 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
-3.99%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
-2.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
GPN is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 2,671 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.35
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.08
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $67.33, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.43 to $71.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (4.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.67 (+40.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.67 (+40.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$66.43 -
$71.46
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.6% below Wall St target ($94.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.43 -
$71.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.13
Resistance Level
$74.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.18
Wall Street Target
$94.67
(+40.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 4.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.76
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$60.38
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$57.18
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$67.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$558.36
(+729%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 16.2%)
$105.77
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 16.2%)
$89.90
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$147.42
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$134.02
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$45.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 4.9
Stabilization Target:
$79.02
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2026-03-30
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BUY
2026-03-10
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SELL
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPN price and gamma walls.