GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$78.63
3.58 (4.77%)
▲
5d:
+15.36%
30d:
+6.21%
90d:
+20.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.74
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.69
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $78.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.11 to $73.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.38 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.38 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.11 -
$73.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Protect Your Profits
GPN is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 63.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.11 -
$73.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.66
Resistance Level
$78.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.86
Wall Street Target
$93.38
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 4.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.10
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$79.58
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$80.05
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.01
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$561.79
(+615%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.9, Growth: 16.8%)
$125.45
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 16.8%)
$106.63
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$165.11
(+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$150.10
(+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$51.03
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-03-30
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