DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$64.65
2.49 (4.01%)
▲
5d:
+9.61%
30d:
+21.25%
90d:
+79.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DAR is 9.1% above fair value ($59.27). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DAR is 9.1% above fair value ($59.27). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.18
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.41
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $64.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.66 to $59.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$52.66 -
$59.27
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($62.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 20.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Extended 9.1% above fair value - wait for pullback
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.66 -
$59.27
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.59
Resistance Level
$63.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.85
Wall Street Target
$62.77
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.78
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$63.41
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$64.04
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$158.91
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 21.9%)
$112.67
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 21.9%)
$95.77
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.30
Bull Case
$68.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$56.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$43.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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