NOMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited
$9.79
0.70 (7.70%)
▲
5d:
-3.45%
30d:
+2.19%
90d:
-23.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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1 traders called NOMD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOMD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOMD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.70
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOMD is currently trading at $9.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.41 to $9.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.99, while resistance sits at $10.37. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOMD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+32.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOMD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.99, while resistance sits at $10.37. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOMD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+32.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.41 -
$9.87
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($13.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.41 -
$9.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.99
Resistance Level
$10.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.03
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.47
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.15
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$8.85
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$9.84
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.4%)
$45.66
(+366%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 8.4%)
$12.48
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$10.61
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$16.29
(+66%)
Analyst growth 53.3%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$14.81
(+51%)
Market implied 53.3%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$6.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$10.89
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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