DEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DEA - Easterly Government Properties, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$21.66
0.25 (1.17%) ▲
5d: -1.55%
30d: -6.96%
90d: +1.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your DEA Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

DEA is down 4.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $22.5 2026-04-17 with 103 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DEA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.63
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DEA is currently trading at $21.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.83 to $23.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.4) compared to its historical average (46.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DEA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.25 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $21.83 - $23.34
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 38th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.25)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $21.83 - $23.34
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.77 (8.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.37
Resistance Level $22.45
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.38
Wall Street Target $24.25 (+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -29.2%
Profit Margin 3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 39.4 vs 46.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.47 (-6%)
2-Year Target $19.34 (-11%)
3-Year Target $18.28 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 39→47) $21.63 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 39.4, Growth: 27.9%) $45.33 (+109%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 27.9%) $25.72 (+19%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 27.9%) $21.86 (+1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (53x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.41
Bull Case $26.57 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 55.9
Base Case $22.00 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.2
Bear Case $16.83 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 47.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.4 to 46.6
Stabilization Target: $25.63 (+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.3%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DEA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DEA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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