CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$37.67
0.96 (2.62%)
▲
5d:
+7.08%
30d:
+18.76%
90d:
+23.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CDP is 7.4% above its trading range ($35.06). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CDP is 7.4% above its trading range ($35.06). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.51
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $37.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.10 to $35.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.9) compared to its historical average (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.10 -
$35.06
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.10 -
$35.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.21
Resistance Level
$37.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.91
Wall Street Target
$36.00
(-4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
26.9 vs 22.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.85
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$42.17
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$44.61
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.9, Growth: 4.9%)
$43.49
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.9%)
$35.21
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.9%)
$29.92
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$41.27
(+10%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$37.51
(0%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$24.96
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip L Hawkins
SELL
5536 shares
2026-02-23
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