CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$31.65
-0.05 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
-2.31%
90d:
-0.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.61
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $31.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.27 to $32.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CDP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.27 -
$32.29
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.27 -
$32.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.46
Resistance Level
$32.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.61
Wall Street Target
$35.50
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.78
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$31.90
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$32.03
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 4.5%)
$36.15
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 4.5%)
$35.24
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 4.5%)
$29.96
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$35.63
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$32.39
(+2%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$21.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip L Hawkins
SELL
5536 shares
2026-02-23
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