DHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DHR - Danaher Corporation

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$218.89
-0.73 (-0.33%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DHR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$326.72
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$202.87
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DHR is currently trading at $218.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $227.59 to $238.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.7) compared to its historical average (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DHR is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $217.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.27 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $227.59 - $238.88
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($263.27)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $227.59 - $238.88
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $217.31
Resistance Level $242.80
Current Trend Support Break

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.71
Wall Street Target $263.27 (+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Profit Margin 14.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.7 vs 27.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $209.30 (-5%)
2-Year Target $199.46 (-9%)
3-Year Target $190.09 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→27) $219.67 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.7, Growth: 10.3%) $294.89 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.3%) $277.36 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.3%) $235.75 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case $454.84 (+108%)
Analyst growth 84.2%, PE expands to 49.1
Base Case $413.49 (+89%)
Market implied 84.2%, PE stable at 44.6
Bear Case $152.69 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.7 to 27.4
Stabilization Target: $253.80 (+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-29
Lisa C. McClain SELL 2025-09-25
Michael T. McCaul BUY 2025-09-25

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DHR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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