DOLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOLE - Dole plc

Agricultural Production-Crops
$15.93
0.07 (0.44%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DOLE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.29
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.94
6.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOLE is currently trading at $15.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.41 to $15.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DOLE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $14.41 - $15.43
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 7th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.1%

Protect Your Profits

DOLE is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 10.5% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $14.41 - $15.43
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.52 (3.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.55
Resistance Level $15.99
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.44
Wall Street Target $17.50 (+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.7%
Profit Margin 0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.4% premium
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 9.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.31 (+2%)
2-Year Target $16.70 (+5%)
3-Year Target $17.10 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $15.89 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 22.4%) $62.36 (+292%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 22.4%) $29.19 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 22.4%) $24.81 (+56%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case $19.97 (+25%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case $18.16 (+14%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case $10.19 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DOLE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOLE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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