TSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$66.66
-0.23 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
-1.88%
30d:
+5.18%
90d:
+5.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
TSN is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-07-17 with 3,443 OI. Call ratio: 81% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.35
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $66.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.71 to $67.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.05, while resistance sits at $69.48.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.05, while resistance sits at $69.48.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$63.71 -
$67.10
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.71 -
$67.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.05
Resistance Level
$69.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.52
Wall Street Target
$71.15
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3602.2%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.73
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$66.79
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$66.86
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.2%)
$146.67
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 13.2%)
$96.62
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$82.12
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.92
Bull Case
$80.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$66.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$50.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
John H Tyson
SELL
100301 shares
2025-11-28
Curt Calaway
SELL
6539 shares
2025-11-25
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