TSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$68.38
0.44 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
+7.38%
30d:
+4.52%
90d:
+4.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TSN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TSN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.35
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $68.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.41 to $66.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.41 -
$66.62
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TSN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.41 -
$66.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.05
Resistance Level
$69.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.89
Wall Street Target
$71.15
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3602.2%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.06
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$69.75
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$70.45
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$146.01
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$99.11
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 13.2%)
$84.24
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.03
Bull Case
$82.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$68.38
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$52.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 3:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
John H Tyson
SELL
100301 shares
2025-11-28
Curt Calaway
SELL
6539 shares
2025-11-25
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