DUK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DUK - Duke Energy Corporation
$121.35
0.46 (0.38%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DUK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DUK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.61
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DUK is currently trading at $121.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.68 to $119.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.18 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.18 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$116.68 -
$119.50
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($135.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$116.68 -
$119.50
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.25
Resistance Level
$121.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.05
Wall Street Target
$135.18
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.74
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$122.59
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$123.45
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.1%)
$178.42
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 6.1%)
$144.44
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.1%)
$122.77
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.35
Bull Case
$139.54
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.5%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$126.85
(+5%)
Market implied 5.5%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$81.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marjorie Taylor Greene
BUY
2025-09-11
Bonnie B Titone
SELL
2000 shares
2025-08-20
Thomas Preston Jr. Gille…
SELL
6700 shares
2025-08-12
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Advanced DUK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DUK price and gamma walls.
