GNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNK - GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD
$20.90
0.15 (0.72%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.24
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNK is currently trading at $20.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.61 to $20.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 151.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.10 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.10 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$18.61 -
$20.15
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.10)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.61 -
$20.15
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.71
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.80
Resistance Level
$21.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.72
Wall Street Target
$24.10
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.6%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$19.22
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$18.43
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$20.93
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$23.73
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jesper Christensen
SELL
34202 shares
2025-09-08
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