SBLK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBLK - Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
$26.68
-0.01 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
+8.28%
90d:
+14.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
4d
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1 traders called SBLK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SBLK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SBLK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.17
Based on -37.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBLK is currently trading at $26.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.08 to $26.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBLK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.73, while resistance sits at $27.69.
Market Sentiment: SBLK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.98 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBLK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.73, while resistance sits at $27.69.
Market Sentiment: SBLK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.98 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.08 -
$26.07
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.98)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.08 -
$26.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.73
Resistance Level
$27.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.41
Wall Street Target
$29.98
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.6%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$27.81
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$28.40
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.84
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -79.3%)
$77.51
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -79.3%)
$26.05
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: -79.3%)
$22.14
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$58.72
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case
$53.38
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.6
Bear Case
$18.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nikolaos Reskos
SELL
8406 shares
2026-04-15
Nikolaos Reskos
SELL
1594 shares
2026-04-14
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