LOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc.
$267.06
0.42 (0.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When LOW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$327.42
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$203.30
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $267.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $246.20 to $274.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $263.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $263.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$246.20 -
$274.95
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($280.47)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 3.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$246.20 -
$274.95
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$263.72
Resistance Level
$281.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.53
Wall Street Target
$280.47
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 19.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$269.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$272.54
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$275.54
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$265.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$343.93
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 5.9%)
$316.61
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: 5.9%)
$269.12
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.07
Bull Case
$318.92
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.6%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$289.93
(+9%)
Market implied 7.6%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$183.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Joseph Michael Mcfarland
SELL
43810 shares
2025-09-11
Brandon J Sink
SELL
8192 shares
2025-09-05
Featured in Portfolios
LOW is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Home Improvement Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Home Improvement Retail by analyst ratings.
Advanced LOW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOW price and gamma walls.
