LVS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LVS - Las Vegas Sands Corp.

HOTELS & MOTELS
$54.32
0.44 (0.82%) ▲
5d: +0.28%
30d: -2.48%
90d: -16.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026 19d
Smart Money Accumulation

LVS is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 28,586 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LVS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.07
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.73
19.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LVS is currently trading at $54.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.08 to $55.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LVS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LVS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.87 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $53.08 - $55.59
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($69.87)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $53.08 - $55.59
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.32
Resistance Level $55.74
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.46
Wall Street Target $69.87 (+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 29.3%
Profit Margin 12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 17.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.28 (-6%)
2-Year Target $48.41 (-11%)
3-Year Target $45.70 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $54.37 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.3%) $139.08 (+156%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 18.3%) $89.96 (+66%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 18.3%) $76.47 (+41%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case $93.09 (+72%)
Analyst growth 59.9%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case $84.63 (+57%)
Market implied 59.9%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case $35.99 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 17.2
Stabilization Target: $64.63 (+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.0%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-29
Robert G Goldstein SELL 1198650 shares 2025-12-17
Miriam Adelson SELL 77991 shares 2025-12-16

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Advanced LVS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LVS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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