MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$165.72
5.42 (3.38%)
▲
5d:
+4.31%
30d:
+34.13%
90d:
+70.27%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.37
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.09
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $165.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.66 to $156.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.00 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.00 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$126.66 -
$156.65
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
48th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 48th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($190.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$126.66 -
$156.65
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.63
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.08
Resistance Level
$164.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.80
Wall Street Target
$190.00
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.0%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 11.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.17
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$185.15
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$195.70
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$165.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.7%)
$210.58
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: -7.7%)
$130.36
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: -7.7%)
$110.49
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.00
Bull Case
$162.83
(-2%)
Analyst growth -7.7%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$148.03
(-11%)
Market implied -7.7%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$109.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
1044 shares
2025-08-07
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