MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$58.47
1.16 (2.02%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDLZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDLZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.97
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $58.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.79 to $57.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.02 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.02 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.79 -
$57.82
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.02)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 5.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.79 -
$57.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.61
Resistance Level
$60.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.27
Wall Street Target
$67.02
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.5%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$58.46
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$59.05
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$89.13
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$73.02
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$62.06
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case
$74.61
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.5%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$67.83
(+16%)
Market implied 17.5%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$39.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-08-06
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