MOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOH - Molina Healthcare, Inc.
$179.59
-5.34 (-2.89%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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3 traders called MOH this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MOH is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MOH is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.30
Based on -3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.39
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOH is currently trading at $179.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.82 to $193.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $178.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $178.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$170.82 -
$193.21
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($186.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 11.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$170.82 -
$193.21
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.00
Resistance Level
$203.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.91
Wall Street Target
$186.69
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$193.62
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$202.72
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$212.25
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$185.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -10.9%)
$201.68
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: -10.9%)
$134.81
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: -10.9%)
$114.59
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.23
Bull Case
$157.23
(-12%)
Analyst growth -23.6%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$142.94
(-20%)
Market implied -23.6%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$127.16
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Byron Donalds
SELL
2025-09-04
Ronna Romney
SELL
700 shares
2025-08-06
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Advanced MOH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOH price and gamma walls.
