NTAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTAP - NetApp, Inc
$96.35
-1.98 (-2.01%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTAP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTAP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.68
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTAP is currently trading at $96.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.31 to $109.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTAP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.81 (+24.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTAP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.81 (+24.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$99.31 -
$109.18
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTAP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($122.81)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$99.31 -
$109.18
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.69
Resistance Level
$109.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.52
Wall Street Target
$122.81
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.91
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$89.68
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$85.64
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$98.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$239.92
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$123.96
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$105.37
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.74
Bull Case
$162.45
(+69%)
Analyst growth 48.7%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$147.68
(+53%)
Market implied 48.7%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$67.54
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$112.65
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth M O'callahan
SELL
1000 shares
2025-10-10
Lorenzo Daniel De
SELL
779 shares
2025-09-25
George Kurian
SELL
8750 shares
2025-09-17
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