NXST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXST - Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Common Stock
$212.38
5.41 (2.61%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$403.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$250.78
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXST is currently trading at $212.38, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.70 to $213.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $204.89, while resistance sits at $219.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $230.50 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXST is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $204.89, while resistance sits at $219.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $230.50 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$204.70 -
$213.63
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($230.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$204.70 -
$213.63
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.89
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.89
Resistance Level
$219.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.18
Wall Street Target
$230.50
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.4%
Profit Margin
10.1%
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$206.97
(0%)
2-Year Target
$206.97
(0%)
3-Year Target
$206.97
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$207.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 106.8%)
$1903.61
(+820%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 106.8%)
$698.52
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 106.8%)
$593.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.01
Bull Case
$360.27
(+70%)
Analyst growth 58.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$327.51
(+54%)
Market implied 58.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$140.97
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NXST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NXST price and gamma walls.
