PEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PEG - Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated

ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
$81.39
0.68 (0.84%) ▲
5d: +1.97%
30d: -5.44%
90d: +1.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your PEG Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 28d
Smart Money Accumulation

PEG is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $82.5 2026-05-15 with 1,285 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PEG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.78
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.27
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PEG is currently trading at $81.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.39 to $85.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PEG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PEG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.32 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $81.39 - $85.53
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.32)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $81.39 - $85.53
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $79.12
Resistance Level $85.80
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.26
Wall Street Target $90.32 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 10.5%
Profit Margin 17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.3 vs 18.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.01 (-2%)
2-Year Target $78.65 (-3%)
3-Year Target $77.31 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $81.51 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.0%) $132.75 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 8.0%) $102.53 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 14.7, Growth: 8.0%) $87.15 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.22
Bull Case $97.57 (+22%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case $88.70 (+11%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case $54.02 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 18.2
Stabilization Target: $85.81 (+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ralph A Larossa SELL 2083 shares 2026-03-05
Richard T Thigpen SELL 4700 shares 2026-03-03
Julie Johnson SELL 2025-12-09

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