PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
$12.84
-0.31 (-2.36%)
▼
5d:
-10.02%
30d:
-13.13%
90d:
-22.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
23d
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1 traders called PENN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PENN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PENN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.26
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.10
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $12.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.69 to $14.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PENN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.06 (+48.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PENN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.06 (+48.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.69 -
$14.86
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.4% below Wall St target ($19.06)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.69 -
$14.86
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.67
Resistance Level
$14.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.59
Wall Street Target
$19.06
(+48.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
208.9%
Profit Margin
-13.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.26
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$13.70
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$14.15
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PENN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David A Handler
BUY
20000 shares
2025-08-08
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