PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
$15.00
-0.03 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
+2.32%
30d:
+0.47%
90d:
+1.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
PENN is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-05-15 with 1,332 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PENN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.9% annual earnings decline despite 209% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PENN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.9% annual earnings decline despite 209% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.46
47.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $15.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.52 to $15.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 208.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PENN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.11 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PENN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.11 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$13.52 -
$15.13
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($19.11)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.52 -
$15.13
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.59
Resistance Level
$15.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.67
Wall Street Target
$19.11
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
208.9%
Profit Margin
-12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$17.16
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 77.2%)
$130.53
(+770%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 77.2%)
$50.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 77.2%)
$43.03
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.53
(+56.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PENN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Felicia Hendrix
BUY
7315 shares
2025-11-21
David A Handler
BUY
20000 shares
2025-11-17
Gupta Vimla Black
SELL
7987 shares
2025-11-14
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Advanced PENN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PENN price and gamma walls.
