RRR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRR - Red Rock Resorts, Inc. Class A Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$54.85
-0.11 (-0.20%) ▼
5d: -1.6%
30d: -8.55%
90d: -11.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your RRR Gains
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

RRR is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $69 2026-05-15 with 44 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RRR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.12
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.06
7.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRR is currently trading at $54.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.08 to $62.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.3) compared to its historical average (27.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $52.11, while resistance sits at $60.27.

Market Sentiment: RRR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.94 (+32.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $57.08 - $62.42
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.7% below Wall St target ($72.94)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $57.08 - $62.42
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.11
Resistance Level $60.27
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.27
Wall Street Target $72.94 (+32.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -1.8%
Profit Margin 9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.3 vs 27.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.06 (-7%)
2-Year Target $47.43 (-14%)
3-Year Target $44.07 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→28) $55.02 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.2%) $82.19 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.2%) $81.89 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 18.9, Growth: 14.2%) $69.60 (+27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.12
Bull Case $50.06 (-14%)
Analyst growth -20.9%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case $45.51 (-22%)
Market implied -20.9%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case $39.11 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 27.8
Stabilization Target: $68.62 (+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +24.9%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced RRR Option Strategies

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