RYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$20.60
0.29 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
+2.59%
30d:
-4.14%
90d:
-5.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.82
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $20.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.09 to $21.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.4) compared to its historical average (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RYN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.83 (+30.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RYN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.83 (+30.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$20.09 -
$21.82
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.3% below Wall St target ($26.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.09 -
$21.82
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.49
Resistance Level
$20.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.41
Wall Street Target
$26.83
(+30.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-83.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.5%
Profit Margin
97.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.4 vs 42.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.70
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$16.98
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$15.42
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→42)
$20.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.4, Growth: 58.9%)
$69.53
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 58.9%)
$49.47
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 58.9%)
$42.05
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$29.93
(+49%)
Analyst growth 39.5%, PE expands to 45.6
Base Case
$27.21
(+36%)
Market implied 39.5%, PE stable at 41.5
Bear Case
$13.26
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.4 to 42.0
Stabilization Target:
$27.54
(+33.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Cremers
SELL
169200 shares
2026-02-27
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