RYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$22.74
0.14 (0.62%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RYN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RYN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.43
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $22.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.75 to $23.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 47.6) is in line with its historical norms (46.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.90, while resistance sits at $24.82.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.67 (+17.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.90, while resistance sits at $24.82.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.67 (+17.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$21.75 -
$23.82
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.75 -
$23.82
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.90
Resistance Level
$24.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.65
Wall Street Target
$26.67
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.0%
Profit Margin
60.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
47.7 vs 46.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.90
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.22
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→47)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.7, Growth: 27.3%)
$22.93
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 27.3%)
$10.73
(-53%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 27.3%)
$9.12
(-60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$12.37
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$11.25
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$15.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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