SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$78.31
0.15 (0.19%)
▲
5d:
-1.85%
30d:
-27.79%
90d:
-38.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.2% annual earnings decline despite 58% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.2% annual earnings decline despite 58% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.47
40.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $78.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.88 to $104.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.71 (+79.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.71 (+79.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$79.88 -
$104.06
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.7% below Wall St target ($140.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$79.88 -
$104.06
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.27
Resistance Level
$89.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.31
Wall Street Target
$140.71
(+79.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.5%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$63.43
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$57.09
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$78.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 31.2%)
$258.38
(+230%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 31.2%)
$177.03
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 31.2%)
$150.48
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$173.47
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.4
Base Case
$157.70
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.3
Bear Case
$53.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$107.90
(+37.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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