SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$82.08
-0.74 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
-1.65%
30d:
+2.57%
90d:
+2.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.14
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $82.08, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.11 to $83.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.71 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.71 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$80.11 -
$83.95
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$80.11 -
$83.95
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.11
Resistance Level
$86.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.85
Wall Street Target
$91.71
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
93077.6%
Profit Margin
10.0%
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.08
(0%)
2-Year Target
$82.08
(0%)
3-Year Target
$82.08
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
$82.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$135.33
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$120.47
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$102.40
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.18
Bull Case
$118.45
(+44%)
Analyst growth 30.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$107.68
(+31%)
Market implied 30.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$56.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 12:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carl C Icahn
SELL
1500000 shares
2025-09-25
Brian E Sandoval
BUY
24 shares
2025-09-10
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