TPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$141.20
-3.15 (-2.18%)
ā¼
5d:
-0.15%
30d:
-10.01%
90d:
+10.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TPR is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $150 2026-06-18 with 385 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.00
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.74
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $141.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.28 to $153.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 94.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.44, while resistance sits at $149.53.
Market Sentiment: TPR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.21 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.44, while resistance sits at $149.53.
Market Sentiment: TPR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.21 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$140.28 -
$153.04
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($160.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$140.28 -
$153.04
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$136.44
Resistance Level
$149.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.59
Wall Street Target
$160.21
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
94.2%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 21.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$135.06
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$132.08
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20ā21)
$141.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$202.68
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$193.03
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$164.08
(+16%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.38
Bull Case
$174.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$144.42
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$110.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$151.35
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 1:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced TPR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPR price and gamma walls.
