CPRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPRI - Capri Holdings Limited
$18.96
0.42 (2.27%)
▲
5d:
+0.53%
30d:
+3.72%
90d:
+5.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.43
33.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPRI is currently trading at $18.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.45 to $20.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.72 (+35.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.72 (+35.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.45 -
$20.20
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($25.72)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.45 -
$20.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.61
Resistance Level
$21.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$25.72
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.0%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.65
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$16.43
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$15.30
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$18.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 32.5%)
$94.60
(+399%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 32.5%)
$44.13
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 32.5%)
$37.51
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$40.79
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$37.08
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$12.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.51
(+24.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John D Idol
BUY
55000 shares
2026-03-11
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