Target Price Playground
AAPL
$260.48
๐ข
AAPL IV: 29.7% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 45.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $290 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $260 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.96 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AAPL hits $290 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,704 (131.5%) on $1,296 risked, vs +$2,952 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $26,048. Options give 11.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AAPL is at $290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AAPL hits $290 by Jun 19
+$1,704
+131.5% on $1,296 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,296
Premium paid
Break-even
$272.96
+4.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.21 / -10.07 / 44.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AAPL Price | Today | May 4 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $208 (-20%) | -$1,239 | -$1,279 | -$1,295 | -$1,296 |
| $221 (-15%) | -$1,126 | -$1,220 | -$1,286 | -$1,296 |
| $234 (-10%) | -$886 | -$1,055 | -$1,224 | -$1,296 |
| $247 (-5%) | -$469 | -$704 | -$996 | -$1,296 |
| $255 (-2%) | -$121 | -$381 | -$721 | -$1,296 |
| $260 (0%) โ spot | +$153 | -$115 | -$468 | -$1,248 |
| $266 (+2%) | +$459 | +$191 | -$159 | -$727 |
| $274 (+5%) | +$975 | +$718 | +$398 | +$54 |
| $287 (+10%) | +$1,966 | +$1,748 | +$1,512 | +$1,357 |
| $290 (+11%) โ target | +$2,253 | +$2,047 | +$1,835 | +$1,704 |
| $300 (+15%) | +$3,082 | +$2,910 | +$2,752 | +$2,659 |
| $313 (+20%) | +$4,281 | +$4,150 | +$4,039 | +$3,962 |
Uses AAPL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.