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STEP Technical Alert

STEP Breaks Above $66 Resistance - Technical Breakout Analysis

Breakout

Summary

STEP has broken above a key resistance level at $66.43, currently trading at $75.81 (14.1% beyond the level). This technical breakout signals buying pressure and suggests potential upward momentum. The RSI at 74.5 indicates overbought conditions, suggesting caution despite the breakout. This is a 100-day trendline break, which is more significant than shorter-term breaks as it indicates a potential shift in the longer-term trend direction.

Technical Chart

STEP breakout chart

Breakout Analysis

When a stock breaks through an established resistance level with conviction, it often signals that the previous price barrier has been overcome. The 14.1% move beyond the resistance level indicates strong buying pressure.

Key Levels to Watch

Breakout Level$66.43
Current Price$75.81
Break Distance14.1%

Investment Advisor Score

57.25/100

BUY
Score as of 2026-01-14

Our AI-powered investment scoring system analyzes multiple factors including fundamentals, technicals, and market sentiment to generate this score.

Company Overview

StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

StepStone Group Inc operates as a fully integrated private markets solution provider. The company provides customized investment solutions and advisory and data services. It provides investment solutions in the areas of private equity, real estate, private debt, and infrastructure and real assets.

Why This Matters

Financial sector breakouts often reflect the market's evolving view on interest rates, credit quality, and economic growth. For STEP, this technical move may signal changing expectations around net interest margins or loan growth that could materially impact earnings.

It's worth noting that STEP is currently unprofitable with a -40.1% margin. This breakout may be driven by growth expectations rather than current fundamentals, which adds risk to the trade.

Competitive Position & Moat

StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) benefits from several key competitive advantages that bolster its market position as a private markets solution provider. Its integrated approach allows for tailored investment solutions across private equity, real estate, private debt, and infrastructure, creating high switching costs for clients who rely on its comprehensive services. The firm’s established brand and reputation in the market enhance customer trust, while its scale enables it to leverage resources and insights across diverse asset classes. In terms of market position, StepStone differentiates itself through its focus on customized advisory and data services, which cater to a wide range of institutional investors seeking specialized investment strategies. This tailored approach not only enhances client satisfaction but also facilitates long-term relationships, further entrenching its market presence. However, StepStone faces potential risks from increasing competition in the private markets space, as new entrants and established firms seek to capture market share through technological advancements and lower fees. Additionally, shifts in macroeconomic conditions, such as rising interest rates or economic downturns, could adversely affect private market investments and, consequently, StepStone's revenue streams.

Financial Health (SEC Data)

Based on the latest SEC filings, here's an analysis of STEP's financial position:

Profitability Analysis

Revenue$1.54B
Net Income$-615.03M
Profit Margin-40.1%

The company is currently unprofitable with a -40.1% margin. This may reflect growth investments or operational challenges.

Options Market Insight

Unusual Activity Score5.3
Divergence Alert: Options flow is bearish despite the technical breakout. Smart money may be hedging or selling into strength. Use caution and consider tighter stops.

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)74.5
MACD SignalBullish
50-Day SMA$64.62
200-Day SMA$64.31
Price vs MAsAbove both (Bullish)

Next Levels to Watch

50-Day SMA$64.62
200-Day SMA$64.31

Trading Considerations

  • Confirmation: Watch for sustained price action above $66.43
  • Volume: Look for volume confirmation on continued moves
  • Role Reversal: Broken level at $66.43 may now act as support
  • Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders

Conclusion

STEP's break above the $66.43 resistance level represents a significant technical development. Combined with a bullish investment score, this breakout may present a buying opportunity for momentum traders.

Related Analysis for STEP


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions.

Live Status REAL-TIME
$69.81
-0.88 (-1%)
Since Alert ($75.81) Return
-7.9%

⚠️ Reversal Risk: Price failed to hold breakout.

AI Score Details
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Technical Health
RSI (14)
47.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
vs 50-Day MA

Technical Summary

Type: Breakout
Break Distance: 14.1%
Price at Break: $75.81
Date: Jan 15, 2026
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Actionable Analysis

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