STEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STEP - StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
$55.10
0.50 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+1.7%
30d:
+0.95%
90d:
-2.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
4d
Smart Money Distribution
STEP is up 6.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 153 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STEP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STEP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.46
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.10
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STEP is currently trading at $55.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.54 to $55.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.34, while resistance sits at $57.01.
Market Sentiment: STEP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.38 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.34, while resistance sits at $57.01.
Market Sentiment: STEP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.38 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$49.54 -
$55.78
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($71.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.54 -
$55.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.46
(8.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.35
Resistance Level
$57.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.98
Wall Street Target
$71.38
(+29.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.5%
Profit Margin
-30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 24.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$51.42
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$49.67
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$54.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.9%)
$95.26
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.9%)
$94.98
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 19.9%)
$80.74
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.0 to 24.3
Stabilization Target:
$60.93
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott W Hart
SELL
10000 shares
2026-01-26
Scott W Hart
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-26
Michael I Mccabe
SELL
117838 shares
2025-12-10
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Advanced STEP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STEP price and gamma walls.
