Summary
TYL has broken below a key support level at $421.34, currently trading at $368.75 (12.5% beyond the level). This technical breakout signals selling pressure and suggests potential downward pressure. The RSI at 21.1 indicates oversold conditions, which may present a contrarian opportunity. This is a 100-day trendline break, which is more significant than shorter-term breaks as it indicates a potential shift in the longer-term trend direction.
Technical Chart
Breakout Analysis
When a stock breaks through an established support level with conviction, it often signals that the previous price barrier has been overcome. The 12.5% move beyond the support level indicates significant selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch
| Breakout Level | $421.34 |
| Current Price | $368.75 |
| Break Distance | 12.5% |
Investment Advisor Score
52.25/100
HOLDOur AI-powered investment scoring system analyzes multiple factors including fundamentals, technicals, and market sentiment to generate this score.
Company Overview
Tyler Technologies, Inc.
Tyler Technologies provides a full suite of software solutions and services that address the needs of cities, counties, schools, courts and other local government entities. The company's three core products are Munis, which is the core ERP system, Odyssey, which is the court management system, or CMS, and payments. The company also provides a variety of add-on modules and offers outsourced property tax assessment services..
Why This Matters
In the technology sector, breakouts like this one in TYL frequently signal shifting sentiment around growth trajectories. As AI and cloud adoption reshape enterprise spending, tech companies that demonstrate strong positioning often see sustained institutional accumulation that pushes prices through key technical levels.
Despite the technical breakdown, TYL maintains a 13.7% profit margin. This fundamental strength may provide eventual support if the selling is overdone.
Financial Health (SEC Data)
Based on the latest SEC filings, here's an analysis of TYL's financial position:
Profitability Analysis
| Revenue | $2.30B |
| Net Income | $315.33M |
| Profit Margin | 13.7% |
With a 13.7% profit margin, TYL shows healthy profitability, suggesting solid business fundamentals.
Options Market Insight
| Options Confidence | 65.1/100 |
| Signal | Neutral Bearish |
| Recommendation | SPECULATIVE |
| Unusual Activity Score | 5.4 |
Speculative setup. Some confirming signals but also red flags. Size accordingly.
Options Flow Factors:
- Catalyst: Earnings in 13 days
- Early entry - good timing
- Strong signal alignment (5/6)
Risk Factors:
- Low institutional flow - mostly retail
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.1 |
| MACD Signal | Bearish |
| 50-Day SMA | $449.89 |
| 200-Day SMA | $452.53 |
| Price vs MAs | Below both (Bearish) |
Next Levels to Watch
| 50-Day SMA | $449.89 |
| 200-Day SMA | $452.53 |
Price has already broken below the 200-day SMA at $452.53, which is a bearish signal suggesting the longer-term trend may be turning down. Price is below the 50-day SMA at $449.89, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
Trading Considerations
- Confirmation: Watch for sustained price action below $421.34
- Volume: Look for volume confirmation on continued moves
- Role Reversal: Broken level at $421.34 may now act as resistance
- Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders
Conclusion
TYL's break below the $421.34 support level represents a significant technical development. Traders should monitor price action and volume for confirmation of this bearish signal.
Related Analysis for TYL
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions.