AESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
$12.15
-0.05 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-13.21%
30d:
+21.02%
90d:
+28.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AESI is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AESI is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $12.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.70 to $13.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 83.8) is in line with its historical norms (83.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.70 -
$13.68
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.26)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -8.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.70 -
$13.68
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.85
Resistance Level
$14.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
83.79
Wall Street Target
$12.26
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
-4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
83.8 vs 83.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.17
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$12.20
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$12.22
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 84→83)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris Scholla
SELL
8912 shares
2026-03-06
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
130000 shares
2026-02-18
Gregory M Shepard
SELL
100000 shares
2026-02-17
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