AESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$13.15
-0.07 (-0.53%) ▼
5d: +3.79%
30d: +36.55%
90d: +39.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AESI is currently trading at $13.15, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.63 to $13.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 90.7) is in line with its historical norms (82.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.19, while resistance sits at $14.23.

Market Sentiment: AESI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $10.63 - $13.64
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($12.17)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with -8.1% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.63 - $13.64
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.19
Resistance Level $14.23
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 90.69
Wall Street Target $12.17 (-7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.2%
Profit Margin -4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium
PE vs Historical 90.7 vs 82.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.56 (+3%)
2-Year Target $13.98 (+6%)
3-Year Target $14.41 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 91→83) PE COMPRESSION $13.14 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris Scholla SELL 8912 shares 2026-03-06
Gregory M Shepard SELL 130000 shares 2026-02-18
Gregory M Shepard SELL 100000 shares 2026-02-17

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