Is HAL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, HAL is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: HAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of HAL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HAL to be between $37.85 and $41.23. The current price is $41.29.

What is the analyst price target for HAL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HAL is $42.36. This implies a potential upside of 2.6% from current levels.

HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HAL - Halliburton Company

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC

$41.29

0.27 (0.66%) ▲

5d: +5.55%

30d: +9.99%

90d: +20.41%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your HAL Gains

Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Apr 21, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

HAL is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 16,310 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 22.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$71.19

Based on 13.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$44.20

6.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $41.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.85 to $41.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $37.85 - $41.23

Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.36)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $37.85 - $41.23

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.83

Resistance Level $42.46

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.36

Wall Street Target $42.36 (+2.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 133.5%

Profit Margin 7.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium

PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 13.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $42.24 (+2%)

2-Year Target $43.21 (+5%)

3-Year Target $44.21 (+7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $41.26 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.5%) $116.50 (+182%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 22.5%) $75.89 (+84%)

Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 22.5%) $64.51 (+56%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81

Bull Case $70.36 (+72%)

Analyst growth 58.9%, PE expands to 24.5

Base Case $63.97 (+56%)

Market implied 58.9%, PE stable at 22.2

Bear Case $27.38 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is HAL showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Jeffrey Allen Miller SELL 158455 shares 2026-03-27

Jeffrey Shannon Slocum SELL 5441 shares 2026-03-16

Van H Beckwith SELL 19618 shares 2026-03-16

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