AIOT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIOT - PowerFleet, Inc. Common Stock
$5.11
-0.09 (-1.73%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AIOT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AIOT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.10
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIOT is currently trading at $5.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.28 to $5.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIOT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.67 (+108.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIOT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.67 (+108.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.28 -
$5.56
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 108.7% below Wall St target ($10.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.28 -
$5.56
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.40
(7.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.02
Resistance Level
$5.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.09
Wall Street Target
$10.67
(+108.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.0%
Profit Margin
-9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 18.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.88
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$4.66
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$4.45
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$5.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 188.6%)
$23.90
(+368%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 188.6%)
$17.25
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 188.6%)
$14.66
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$5.87
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIOT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Mcconnell
BUY
10000 shares
2025-08-18
Steven Mark Towe
BUY
23157 shares
2025-08-14
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