ALC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALC - Alcon Inc. Ordinary Shares
$80.98
-0.17 (-0.21%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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1 traders called ALC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.81
Based on -12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.65
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALC is currently trading at $80.98, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.25 to $81.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.1) is in line with its historical norms (36.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.80 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.80 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$79.25 -
$81.10
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 6.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$79.25 -
$81.10
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.27
Resistance Level
$82.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.10
Wall Street Target
$91.80
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
37.1 vs 36.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.96
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$82.78
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$83.61
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.1, Growth: -29.0%)
$59.16
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -29.0%)
$35.56
(-56%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -29.0%)
$30.23
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.10
Bull Case
$92.14
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 42.1
Base Case
$83.77
(+3%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$54.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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