ALCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALCO - Alico Inc
$41.31
0.46 (1.13%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ALCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.57
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALCO is currently trading at $41.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.10 to $40.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 56.0) is in line with its historical norms (52.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$36.10 -
$40.26
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.10 -
$40.26
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.37
Resistance Level
$41.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
55.96
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
335.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
56.0 vs 52.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.58
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$43.48
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 56→53)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Henry R Slack
SELL
3548 shares
2025-08-26
Henry R Slack
SELL
2913 shares
2025-08-25
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SELL
24789 shares
2025-08-15
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Advanced ALCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALCO price and gamma walls.
