ALHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALHC - Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Common Stock
$22.53
0.03 (0.13%)
ā²
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: ALHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
š HOLD: ALHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.39
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALHC is currently trading at $22.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.79 to $22.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.9) is in line with its historical norms (50.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.97, while resistance sits at $23.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.97, while resistance sits at $23.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$19.79 -
$22.79
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.79 -
$22.79
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.97
Resistance Level
$23.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.88
Wall Street Target
$24.17
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.5%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
54.9 vs 50.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.13
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$23.78
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$24.44
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55ā51)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.9, Growth: 76.3%)
$75.94
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 76.3%)
$30.86
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 76.3%)
$26.23
(+17%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
180000 shares
2025-10-10
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SELL
51379 shares
2025-10-09
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2025-10-08
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Advanced ALHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALHC price and gamma walls.
