ALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALM - Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
$13.77
-1.14 (-7.65%)
▼
5d:
-18.67%
30d:
-25.12%
90d:
+45.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALM is down 18.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALM is down 18.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.84
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALM is currently trading at $13.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.42 to $20.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 49.0) compared to its historical average (44.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.51. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.51. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.42 -
$20.00
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 23.7% above Wall St target ($10.51)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.42 -
$20.00
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.87
Resistance Level
$18.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.04
Wall Street Target
$10.51
(-23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
-216.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
49.0 vs 44.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.22
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$14.69
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$15.18
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→45)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALM showing a specific setup today?
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