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ALRM Stock Price Prediction 2026

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

$48.78
$-0.09 (-0.18%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

ALRM Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that ALRM stock will fall to approximately $48.00 by 2026. This represents a potential 1.6% contraction from the current trading price of $48.78. The overall market sentiment for ALRM is currently neutral, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 20.6, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by -0.0%. ALRM shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 36.2, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • Price consolidating in 4.48% range for 10 days
  • Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
  • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
  • Price near support at $48.51
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Neutral
Fair Value Estimate
+8.8% Undervalued
Fair Value: $53.07 (Current: $48.78)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 8.8% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.73
Attractive
Current P/E
26.25
Fair P/E
28.55
Earnings Growth
36.0%
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Volume Trend: Neutral

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.035
Money Flow Index (MFI): 19.8

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $48.72 -0.1%
90 Days $48.59 -0.4%
6 Months $48.39 -0.8%
1 Year $48.00 -1.6%
2 Years EXTENDED $47.23 -3.2%
3 Years EXTENDED $46.48 -4.7%

More ALRM Analysis

Why is ALRM Moving? Buy or Sell ALRM? ALRM Full Analysis ALRM Trendline Analysis
ALRM Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$60.00 (+23.0%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$48.00 (+-1.6%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$33.60 (-31.1%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
36.2
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.04

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
20.63
Forward P/E
26.25
P/S Ratio (TTM)
2.45x
Fair
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
0.0%
Market Cap
$2,429M
Analyst Target
$66.33
52-Week High
$49.11
52-Week Low
$48.33

Options Activity

Alert Score
85/100
Classification
Strong Alert
Unusual Activity
80.2
IV Spike
+129.2%

Recommendation: Strong unusual activity detected. Review for potential entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ALRM stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, ALRM is predicted to reach $48.00 by 2026, representing a potential 1.6% decrease from the current price of $48.78.

Is ALRM stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests ALRM is a "HOLD" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 1.6% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is ALRM 52-week high and low?

ALRM has a 52-week high of $49.11 and a 52-week low of $48.33. The stock is currently trading 0.7% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for ALRM?

ALRM is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 36.2 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will ALRM stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates ALRM could reach $46.48 by 2028, representing a 4.7% decline from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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