AMPY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPY - Amplify Energy Corp.
$4.97
0.19 (3.97%)
▲
5d:
+3.97%
30d:
+7.34%
90d:
+9.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMPY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMPY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.67
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPY is currently trading at $4.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.56 to $4.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $4.57, while resistance sits at $5.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.12 (+83.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $4.57, while resistance sits at $5.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.12 (+83.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$4.56 -
$4.88
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 83.6% below Wall St target ($9.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -5.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.56 -
$4.88
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.47
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.57
Resistance Level
$5.14
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.20
Wall Street Target
$9.13
(+83.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.0%
Profit Margin
-10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$5.11
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$5.18
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 04, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Clint D Coghill
BUY
65494 shares
2025-08-14
Clint D Coghill
BUY
167086 shares
2025-08-13
Clint D Coghill
BUY
117420 shares
2025-08-12
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