AMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMR - Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING
$206.31
-7.94 (-3.70%) ▼
5d: -5.35%
30d: +24.9%
90d: +0.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your AMR Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

AMR is up 3.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $150 2026-04-17 with 178 OI. Put ratio: 79% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.5/10

Get Alerted When AMR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$474.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$294.70
30.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMR is currently trading at $206.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $171.27 to $205.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $187.40, while resistance sits at $231.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $171.27 - $205.99
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 33th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

Protect Your Profits

Holding AMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($196.00)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $171.27 - $205.99
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$19.69 (9.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $187.40
Resistance Level $231.63
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.91
Wall Street Target $196.00 (-8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -95.6%
Profit Margin -2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 9.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $205.46 (-4%)
2-Year Target $197.03 (-8%)
3-Year Target $188.95 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $214.95 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 109.0%) $2042.68 (+854%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 109.0%) $723.06 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 109.0%) $614.60 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.0
Stabilization Target: $243.72 (+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.8%
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
See Full Scanner Results »
Technical Signals Check

Is AMR showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth S Courtis BUY 10000 shares 2026-03-11
Kenneth S Courtis BUY 15000 shares 2026-03-10
Kenneth S Courtis BUY 25000 shares 2026-03-09

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for AMR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Coking Coal Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Coking Coal by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc 		HOLD
7 analysts 		$105 55 HOLD
HCC Warrior Met Coal …
55 HOLD

Advanced AMR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for AMR

AMR Technical Chart AMR Price Prediction AMR Earnings Date AMR Investment Advisor AMR Fair Price Analyzer AMR Options Advisor AMR Options Chain AMR Options Analysis AMR Competitors
Compare AMR with Other Stocks
AMR vs ARLP
AMR vs BTU
AMR vs NRP
AMR vs NC
Create New Comparison
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals