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AMSF Stock Price Prediction 2026

AMERISAFE, Inc.

$33.33
$-0.43 (-1.27%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: March 31, 2026

AMSF Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that AMSF stock will fall to approximately $32.16 by 2026. This represents a potential 3.5% contraction from the current trading price of $33.33. The overall market sentiment for AMSF is currently neutral, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 13.2, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by -0.2%. AMSF shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a uptrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 44.9, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

🎯
AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • Price consolidating in 4.47% range for 17 days
  • MACD bullish crossover - upward momentum
  • Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.1016)
MACD: Bullish | Volume: Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
+1.6% Undervalued
Fair Value: $33.87 (Current: $33.33)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 1.6% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.83
Attractive
Current P/E
22.37
Fair P/E
22.73
Earnings Growth
27.0%
📉

Volume Trend: Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.102
Money Flow Index (MFI): 39.2

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 0/100

Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).

STRONG SELL SIGNAL - Massively overpriced, excellent premium selling opportunity
Growth Target (1Y)
$44.74
+10.0% upside
Best Strike Found
$45.00
Exp: April 17, 2026, midnight
Call Premium
$1.15
2.8% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$46.15
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
24.4%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
💰
STRONG SELL
Options are overpriced - Sell premium opportunity
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$1.15
Profit if Target Hits
$1.15
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for 10.0% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 2 | Volume: 2
Data as of: May 22, 2025
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $33.24 -0.3%
90 Days $33.04 -0.9%
6 Months $32.74 -1.8%
1 Year $32.16 -3.5%
2 Years EXTENDED $31.04 -6.9%
3 Years EXTENDED $29.95 -10.1%

More AMSF Analysis

Why is AMSF Moving? Buy or Sell AMSF? AMSF Full Analysis AMSF Trendline Analysis
AMSF Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$40.20 (+20.6%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$32.16 (+-3.5%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$22.51 (-32.5%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
44.9
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bullish
Trend
Uptrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.10

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
13.24
Forward P/E
22.37
P/S Ratio (TTM)
2.01x
Fair
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.2%
Market Cap
$639M
Analyst Target
$42.33
52-Week High
$33.76
52-Week Low
$33.26

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the AMSF stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, AMSF is predicted to reach $32.16 by 2026, representing a potential 3.5% decrease from the current price of $33.33.

Is AMSF stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests AMSF is a "HOLD" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 3.5% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is AMSF 52-week high and low?

AMSF has a 52-week high of $33.76 and a 52-week low of $33.26. The stock is currently trading 1.3% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for AMSF?

AMSF is currently in a uptrend trend. The RSI of 44.9 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will AMSF stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates AMSF could reach $29.95 by 2028, representing a 10.1% decline from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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