AMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMT - American Tower Corporation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$179.28
-2.06 (-1.14%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$337.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$209.74
14.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMT is currently trading at $179.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.62 to $179.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $175.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: AMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.60 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $172.62 - $179.84
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($217.60)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 7.7% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $172.62 - $179.84
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $175.15
Resistance Level $184.17
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.14
Wall Street Target $217.60 (+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -59.5%
Profit Margin 28.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 26.1 vs 25.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $182.61 (+1%)
2-Year Target $183.89 (+1%)
3-Year Target $185.17 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→26) PE COMPRESSION $181.38 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.1, Growth: 35.7%) $453.17 (+150%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.7%) $386.67 (+113%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 35.7%) $328.67 (+81%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.27
Bull Case $216.08 (+21%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case $196.44 (+10%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case $120.71 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-29
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-05

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