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AMZN Stock Price Prediction 2026

Amazon.Com Inc

$199.34
$-8.20 (-3.95%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: March 27, 2026

AMZN Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that AMZN stock will fall to approximately $184.79 by 2026. This represents a potential 7.3% contraction from the current trading price of $199.34. The overall market sentiment for AMZN is currently bearish, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 29.0, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by 0.1%. AMZN shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 37.8, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • TTM Squeeze just FIRED - potential breakout starting
  • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
  • Price near support at $199.34
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Neutral
Fair Value Estimate
+12.7% Undervalued
Fair Value: $224.64 (Current: $199.34)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 12.7% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.63
Attractive
Current P/E
25.84
Fair P/E
29.12
Earnings Growth
40.9%
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Volume Trend: Neutral

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): 0.013
Money Flow Index (MFI): 34.7

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 67/100

Analysts project the stock to decline. Options analysis identifies premium selling opportunities (covered calls, credit spreads).

SELL PREMIUM - Good covered call opportunity. Analysts bearish with 7.3% downside target.
Growth Target (1Y)
$184.79
-7.3% (below current)
Best Strike Found
$230.00
Exp: March 19, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$21.71
10.9% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$251.71
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
45.7%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
📉
STRONG SELL
Analysts expect stock to decline - Sell calls to collect premium
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$21.71
Profit if Target Hits
$21.71
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for -7.3% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 47 | Volume: 17
Data as of: Mar 27, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $198.18 -0.6%
90 Days $195.70 -1.8%
6 Months $192.06 -3.6%
1 Year $184.79 -7.3%
2 Years EXTENDED $171.30 -14.1%
3 Years EXTENDED $158.79 -20.3%

More AMZN Analysis

Why is AMZN Moving? Buy or Sell AMZN? AMZN Full Analysis AMZN Trendline Analysis
AMZN Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$230.99 (+15.9%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$184.79 (+-7.3%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$129.35 (-35.1%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
37.8
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
0.01

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
28.99
Forward P/E
25.84
P/S Ratio (TTM)
3.11x
Fair
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Market Cap
$2,227,925M
Analyst Target
$280.80
52-Week High
$207.54
52-Week Low
$199.34

Options Activity

Alert Score
74/100
Classification
Moderate Alert
Unusual Activity
69.6
IV Spike
+120.8%

Recommendation: Moderate unusual activity. Monitor closely.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the AMZN stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, AMZN is predicted to reach $184.79 by 2026, representing a potential 7.3% decrease from the current price of $199.34.

Is AMZN stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests AMZN is a "AVOID" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 7.3% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is AMZN 52-week high and low?

AMZN has a 52-week high of $207.54 and a 52-week low of $199.34. The stock is currently trading 4.0% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for AMZN?

AMZN is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 37.8 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will AMZN stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates AMZN could reach $158.79 by 2028, representing a 20.3% decline from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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