APA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APA - APA Corporation Common Stock
$26.41
0.15 (0.57%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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1 traders called APA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APA trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: APA trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.78
Based on -16.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APA is currently trading at $26.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.36 to $26.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.98, while resistance sits at $27.49.
Market Sentiment: APA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.98, while resistance sits at $27.49.
Market Sentiment: APA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$24.36 -
$26.07
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.26)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.36 -
$26.07
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.98
Resistance Level
$27.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.91
Wall Street Target
$26.26
(-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.58
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$30.92
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$33.45
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -37.2%)
$36.05
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -37.2%)
$19.25
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -37.2%)
$15.20
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.18
Bull Case
$15.05
(-43%)
Analyst growth -47.4%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case
$13.68
(-48%)
Market implied -47.4%, PE stable at 6.2
Bear Case
$17.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-08-05
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Advanced APA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APA price and gamma walls.
