AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$34.13
-0.67 (-1.93%)
▼
5d:
-7.41%
30d:
-7.08%
90d:
+30.02%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AROC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AROC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.82
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $34.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.57 to $36.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.44 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.44 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$34.57 -
$36.59
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.57 -
$36.59
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.83
Resistance Level
$37.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.61
Wall Street Target
$38.44
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.4%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.16
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$34.20
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$34.23
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.21
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.7%)
$74.75
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 12.7%)
$48.87
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 12.7%)
$41.54
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$49.89
(+36%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$45.35
(+23%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$24.16
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
Eric W Thode
SELL
40740 shares
2025-11-10
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