AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$29.59
0.42 (1.44%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AROC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AROC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.53
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.68
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $29.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.56 to $27.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AROC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AROC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$25.56 -
$27.93
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
AROC is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.56 -
$27.93
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.96
Resistance Level
$30.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.17
Wall Street Target
$31.56
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.9%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.34
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.55
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$32.81
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$57.44
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$39.08
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$33.22
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$39.73
(+34%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$36.12
(+22%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$19.29
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason C Rebrook
BUY
5000 shares
2025-09-22
Jason C Rebrook
BUY
10000 shares
2025-09-18
Eric W Thode
SELL
10000 shares
2025-08-12
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