ASC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASC - ARDMORE SHIPPING CORPORATION
$15.03
-0.15 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-0.46%
30d:
-8.24%
90d:
+39.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: ASC shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 7th percentile) and market pricing in only 12.7% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: ASC shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 7th percentile) and market pricing in only 12.7% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.47
Based on -18.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASC is currently trading at $15.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.53 to $16.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.9) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.94, while resistance sits at $15.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.95 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.94, while resistance sits at $15.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.95 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.53 -
$16.08
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.95)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.7% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.53 -
$16.08
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.79
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.94
Resistance Level
$15.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.85
Wall Street Target
$17.95
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.7%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.9 vs 19.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.11
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$19.28
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$21.73
(+43%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.9, Growth: -40.8%)
$11.07
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -40.8%)
$8.90
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -40.8%)
$7.56
(-50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.88
Bull Case
$9.98
(-34%)
Analyst growth -38.1%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$9.07
(-40%)
Market implied -38.1%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$9.96
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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