ASM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASM - Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
$8.99
-2.03 (-18.42%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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3 traders called ASM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.74
49.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASM is currently trading at $8.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.84 to $8.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 477.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.38, while resistance sits at $11.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 18.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.38, while resistance sits at $11.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 18.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$5.84 -
$8.91
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-18.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.07)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.84 -
$8.91
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.38
Resistance Level
$11.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.10
Wall Street Target
$10.08
(-8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
477.8%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.02
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.11
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$8.28
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→20)
$11.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 180.8%)
$54.94
(+399%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 180.8%)
$37.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 180.8%)
$31.61
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$10.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$8.99
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$6.88
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.67
(+33.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASM showing a specific setup today?
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Advanced ASM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASM price and gamma walls.
