ATEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEC - Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
$10.83
-0.43 (-3.82%)
▼
5d:
-5.99%
30d:
-16.69%
90d:
-48.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ATEC is down 7.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-05-15 with 103 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ATEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.64
34.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEC is currently trading at $10.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.52 to $13.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (64.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 32.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.42 (+125.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.42 (+125.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.52 -
$13.37
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATEC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 125.5% below Wall St target ($24.42)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.52 -
$13.37
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.61
Resistance Level
$12.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.68
Wall Street Target
$24.42
(+125.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Profit Margin
-18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-32.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 64.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-32.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.77
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.90
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→65)
$25.92
(+139%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 88.7%)
$38.21
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 88.7%)
$36.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 88.7%)
$31.07
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 64.6
Stabilization Target:
$35.56
(+228.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+228.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Lish
SELL
260535 shares
2026-03-13
David Sponsel
SELL
163452 shares
2026-03-11
Craig E Hunsaker
SELL
82765 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced ATEC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATEC price and gamma walls.
